Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.322895 1.589195 1.914173 2.346288 2.915622 3.654595 4.711243e+00
2024-12-29 0.976148 1.296059 1.744461 2.444996 3.564785 5.391511 8.863284e+00
2025-01-05 0.775629 1.099173 1.596903 2.469616 4.088826 7.293292 1.529037e+01
2025-01-12 0.634042 0.939694 1.441691 2.399832 4.396240 9.043689 2.404316e+01
2025-01-19 0.540390 0.829890 1.331153 2.358227 4.727174 11.147626 3.829739e+01
2025-01-26 0.497505 0.793154 1.334802 2.535122 5.649336 15.848597 7.938951e+01
2025-02-02 0.457320 0.752046 1.318290 2.661616 6.541667 21.861901 1.728387e+02
2025-02-09 0.412910 0.694739 1.255798 2.658340 7.072625 27.548105 3.541182e+02
2025-02-16 0.370913 0.635156 1.175916 2.584944 7.342685 32.742377 7.114308e+02
2025-02-23 0.344790 0.602524 1.147174 2.637952 8.125437 43.366643 2.347846e+03
2025-03-02 0.325702 0.581033 1.138700 2.746096 9.247082 61.244283 1.896407e+04
2025-03-09 0.304017 0.551072 1.104734 2.767681 10.037433 80.907628 1.153298e+06
2025-03-16 0.277787 0.508982 1.036254 2.665621 10.193208 95.552305 NaN
2025-03-23 0.264730 0.493786 1.031653 2.775857 11.652344 146.134598 NaN
2025-03-30 0.249384 0.471597 1.005362 2.803601 12.712052 208.728039 NaN
2025-04-06 0.231381 0.441399 0.953261 2.721009 12.992807 260.152542 NaN
2025-04-13 0.216604 0.417023 0.913032 2.671936 13.502381 342.422916 NaN
2025-04-20 0.212107 0.415848 0.935705 2.880654 16.410632 745.093698 NaN
2025-04-27 0.205706 0.409397 0.942532 3.030383 19.230103 1685.469277 NaN
2025-05-04 0.195407 0.392451 0.916261 3.026500 20.591864 3050.798480 NaN
2025-05-11 0.183839 0.371340 0.874702 2.939579 20.936620 4651.757814 NaN
2025-05-18 0.177022 0.361329 0.865124 3.002341 23.339526 13781.183711 NaN
2025-05-25 0.172158 0.355706 0.868135 3.130596 27.135623 112604.983899 NaN